Silver Strand · Oxnard CA · 93035

Coastal Market Intelligence
for the Informed Buyer.

The metrics that matter, the local context that makes them meaningful, and live underwriting examples — from an agent who actually lives here.
Agent

Noelle Harrelson · DRE #02239099

Brokerage

NextHome Preferred Properties

Market

Ventura & Santa Barbara County

Investor instincts.
Coastal soul.
01Six Metrics Every Coastal Buyer Should Know
Price Per Square Foot
List Price ÷ Living Area

Your fastest comp tool. Instantly reveals whether a listing is priced inline, above, or below what the neighborhood supports. Know your submarket average cold — it's the first question a sophisticated buyer will ask.

Healthy Range
$500–$900

Coastal SoCal. Wide variance between oceanfront and one block inland.

93035 · Right Now
$400–$1,200

Ocean Drive oceanfront: $800–$1,200+. Side streets: $400–$650. Know the block.

Gross Rent Multiplier
Purchase Price ÷ Annual Gross Rent

Your quick investment screen when you don't have expense data yet. Lower is better. Coastal California trades on appreciation — cash flow is harder to find, but STR income can change the equation meaningfully.

Target Range
8–15×

Coastal CA typically runs 18–25×. Know this going in — it's appreciation country.

Silver Strand Reality
~20–25×

A $1.3M home doing $80K/yr STR = 16× GRM. Model the Airbnb revenue — it changes the story.

Days on Market
Date Listed → Offer Accepted

Your market velocity signal. High DOM gives buyers negotiating leverage. Low DOM means your offer strategy needs to be clean, fast, and confident. Know the number before you walk into a showing.

Market Signal
<21 days

Competitive. 30–60 = balanced. 60+ = motivated seller territory.

93035 · April 2026
43 days

Balanced market. Room to negotiate, but well-priced homes still move in 2–3 weeks.

List-to-Sale Ratio
Sale Price ÷ List Price × 100

Tells you how much negotiating power buyers actually have in practice. Above 100% means sellers are getting over ask. Below 97% signals room to negotiate. Calibrate your opening offer accordingly.

Benchmark
97–103%

Under 97% = buyer leverage. Over 100% = seller's market.

93035 · April 2026
97.1%

Slight buyer leverage. 2–3% below ask reasonable on well-priced homes.

Absorption Rate
Homes Sold/Month ÷ Active Listings

How many months of supply at the current pace of sales. Your macro market read — the number that tells you whether conditions are shifting before the price data catches up.

Market Signal
3–6 mo

Balanced. Under 3 = competition heats fast. Over 6 = buyer's market.

93035 · April 2026
4 months

Balanced leaning seller. Watch for tightening as summer approaches.

STR Gross Yield
Annual STR Revenue ÷ Purchase Price × 100

Critical for Silver Strand — many buyers are STR-curious even when buying primary. Even 5–7% gross yield on a coastal property is compelling. Net yield after platform fees and management runs 3–5%.

Target
5–8%

Gross yield target for coastal SoCal STR. Net 3–5% after fees and management.

Silver Strand Estimate
$60–100K

Annual gross for a well-managed 3BR near-beach. Harbor drives strong weekend demand.

Quick Reference · All Six at a Glance

Price / SqFt
Price ÷ SqFt
93035 avg ~$647
GRM
Price ÷ Annual Rent
Coastal CA: 18–25×
Days on Market
Listed → Accepted
93035: 43 days
List-to-Sale
Sale ÷ List × 100
93035: 97.1%
Absorption Rate
Sold/mo ÷ Active
93035: 4 months
STR Yield
STR Rev ÷ Price
Target: 5–8% gross
02The Underwriting Checklist · Run This on Any Property

Eleven checks, every time — the same process behind every brief in this hub.

Whether you're looking at a listing today or one six months from now, this is the punch-list. Pull the data, run the math, know the verdict before you write an offer.

01Your MF Knowledge Applied to SFR
What You Know (MF) SFR Equivalent Applied on the Strand
Cap Rate (NOI ÷ Value)Gross Yield / GRMUse GRM as quick screen. STR revenue reframes the math — model Airbnb income as "NOI."
Value-Add StrategyFixer / Cosmetic Reno1920s cottages on the Strand = classic value-add. Identify underimproved homes vs. neighborhood comps.
Pro FormaCMA + Investment AnalysisRPR CMA is your comp stack. Layer in STR projections for investor buyers.
Market FundamentalsAbsorption Rate + DOMSame logic — supply/demand drives pricing. 4 months inventory = balanced.
Loan-to-ValueDown Payment + Loan TypeCA conforming limit 2026: $806,500. Many Strand buyers are cash.
Rent RollsLease / Rental HistoryFor STR: Airbnb/VRBO history. For LTR: existing leases. Note Oxnard rent stabilization on some properties.
Occupancy RateSTR Occupancy %Silver Strand STR: 65–80% typical. Harbor proximity drives weekend and holiday bookings.
Exit StrategyHold / Flip / 10311031 from Sunbelt into Strand? You speak that language. Help buyers think exit before they buy.
02What's Different in SFR

Emotion drives more than you're used to.

In multifamily, it's 100% numbers. In SFR — especially primary residences — buyers fall in love first and rationalize second. Your role is to help them fall in love with the right property and confirm the numbers support the decision.

California disclosure is your due diligence equivalent.

CA requires extensive seller disclosures — Natural Hazard Disclosure, TDS, flood zone, local ordinances. Read every disclosure, know what it means, protect your buyers. Being the agent who flags issues early builds instant trust.

The timeline is compressed — but your discipline isn't.

MF deals took months. SFR escrow is typically 21–30 days. Your PE discipline around process, deadlines, and documentation is a real advantage. Most agents miss dates. You won't.

Coastal = California Coastal Commission.

Any renovation or addition near the coast falls under the California Coastal Commission — affecting permitting timelines, setback requirements, and what can be built. Being the agent who surfaces it early is a major differentiator.

0193035 Market Snapshot · April 2026
$888KMedian Sold Price
+22.3%List Price · 12-Mo Change
97.1%Sold-to-List Ratio
43Median Days on Market
4 moMonths of Inventory
$902KMedian Est. Home Value
02Sold Price Distribution · Last 90 Days
Price RangeHomes SoldActivityWhat This Signals
Under $600K6
Entry-level · condos · teardowns
$600K – $800K14
Most active range — inland SFR sweet spot
$800K – $1M14
Strong demand — near-beach walkers
$1M – $1.2M5
Premium inland · partial view
$1.2M – $1.4M8
Strong — better locations, improved homes
$1.4M – $1.6M5
Near-oceanfront · renovated
Over $1.8M9
Oceanfront · Ocean Drive premium tier
03The Life Stats · What Closes Buyers
165Sunny Days / Year
75°FAvg July High
0"Annual Snowfall
25 minAvg Commute
$99KMedian HH Income
42Median Age
61%Homeownership Rate
60 miFrom Downtown LA
~$2MOceanfront From
01Live Example · Running the Numbers on a Real Property
5040 Island View St
Mandalay Shores · Oxnard CA 93035 · 3-Story SFR · Ocean + Mountain Views
Live Sample Underwriting
$1,799,000List Price
3 / 4Bed / Bath
2,492Sq Ft
3,920Lot SF
65 DaysOn Market
Market Signal

"Listed at $1,899,000 in March 2026 — already reduced $100K to $1,799,000. RPR estimates this property at $1,897,690 — meaning it's currently listed BELOW its estimated value. 65 days on market gives a buyer real leverage. Multi-generational layout with fully separable levels opens STR, house hack, and LTR plays simultaneously."

Price / SqFt
Price ÷ SqFt
The Math
$1,799,000 ÷ 2,492 sqft
$722 / sqft
Verdict
✓ View Premium
$722/sqft is above the 93035 avg of $647 — but ocean + mountain views, Carrara marble finishes, and Mandalay Shores location justify the premium. Comparable view properties run $750–$900+.
Gross Rent Multiplier
Price ÷ Annual Rent
STR Scenario
$1,799,000 ÷ $110,000/yr
16.4×
Verdict
✓ Strong for Coastal
At $110K STR revenue, GRM = 16.4× — well below the typical coastal CA range of 18–25×. Ocean views + separable levels + Harbor proximity makes this a legitimate STR performer.
Days on Market
Listed → Accepted
Current Status
Active since 3/14/2026
65 days
Verdict
✓ Buyer Has Leverage
65 DOM is well above the 93035 average of 43 days AND they've already dropped $100K. Seller is motivated. A confident offer at 96% of ask is defensible — maybe more.
Offer Strategy
Based on 97.1% market avg
96.3% of Ask (market avg)
$1,799,000 × 0.963
$1,732,737
Verdict
✓ Strong Entry Point
At 96.3% of ask = ~$1.73M. Given 65 DOM + $100K reduction + RVM of $1.9M, there's a case for $1.70–1.73M. RPR values it at $1,897,690 — buyer is already getting a discount to estimated value.
STR Gross Yield
Annual STR Rev ÷ Price
STR Revenue Range
$75.5K (AirDNA) → $107K (Rabbu)
4.2–5.9%
Verdict
✓ Hits the Target
AirDNA projects $75.5K (conservative) · Rabbu projects $107K at 75th percentile. Midpoint ~$91K = 5.1% gross yield — hits the coastal target. Net after fees ~$59K. Legitimate STR play with upside.
02Three Scenarios · Same Property, Different Strategies

5040 Island View · $1,733,000 offer · How does it pencil?

🏡 Primary Residence
Purchase Price$1,733,000
Down (20%)$346,600
Loan Amount$1,386,400
Loan TypeJumbo
Est. PITI~$9,800/mo
RVM vs Purchase$164K instant equity
Bottom LineOcean views + equity day 1
🌊 Full STR Play
Purchase Price$1,733,000
Down (25%)$433,250
STR Revenue (midpoint)~$91,000
Platform + Mgmt Fees~$31,850
Net STR Income~$59,150
Annual Mortgage~$96,000
Cash Flow~-$24K + appreciation
🏠 House Hack
Purchase Price$1,733,000
Live: upper levelOcean view suite
STR: lower level~$45,500/yr
Net STR (after fees)~$29,575/yr
Effective Annual Cost~$58,000/yr
Effective Monthly~$4,800/mo net
Bottom LineBest entry strategy
The Bottom Line

"5040 Island View is priced BELOW its RPR estimated value of $1.9M — rare for coastal SoCal. 65 days on market plus a $100K reduction signals a motivated seller. At $722/sqft with ocean views, Carrara marble finishes, and a separable multi-gen layout, this property opens STR, house hack, and primary residence plays simultaneously. The house hack scenario brings your effective carry to ~$4,800/mo on a near-oceanfront Mandalay Shores home. The numbers work. The views work harder."

01I'd Live Here · Active Property Briefs

Investment-grade analysis on real coastal listings.

Every brief is built from RPR, AirDNA, and Rabbu data — the same stack institutional investors use, applied to single-family coastal properties. These are real numbers on real homes, from someone who actually lives on Silver Strand.

Vol. 001 · Mandalay Shores
5040 Island View St
Oxnard CA 93035 · 3 bed / 4 bath · 2,492 sqft · 3-Story · Ocean + Mountain Views
● Active
$1,799,000 List Price
$722 Price / SqFt
65 days On Market
5.1% STR Gross Yield
$164K Below RVM
Vol. 002 · Silver Strand Beach
2301 Chico Court
Oxnard CA 93035 · 2 bed / 3 bath · 1,583 sqft · 3-Story · No HOA · STR Eligible
● Coming Soon
$1,399,000 List Price
$884 Price / SqFt
11% over vs RVM $1.261M
5.4% STR Gross Yield
−10.6% RVM Trend YoY
Vol. 003 · Silver Strand Beach
148 Los Angeles Ave
Oxnard CA 93035 · 4 bed / 2 bath · 1,830 sqft · Silver Strand · STR History
● Active
$1,385,000 List Price
$757 Price / SqFt
Below RVM RPR Est. $1.43M
10.7% STR Gross Yield
9.4× GRM
Vol. 004 · Hollywood Beach
113 Hueneme Ave
Oxnard CA 93035 · Hollywood Beach · Rare Architecture · STR Eligible
● Active
$387K over vs RPR $1.107M
$71,800 AirDNA / yr
$101,251 Rabbu 75th Pct
6.8% STR Gross Yield
~$2,883 Net Annual Carry

Vol. 005 · Next on the Desk

Follow @mrs.njharrelson for the next drop.

Data Sources & Methodology
Property Data
RPR (Realtors Property Resource) · CRMLS · Pulled June 2026
Market Stats
RPR Market Trends · 93035 · April 2026 · Single Family Residence
STR Revenue (Conservative)
AirDNA Rentalizer · market-level estimates by property type
STR Revenue (Optimistic)
Rabbu · 75th percentile market projections · Ventura County
All projections are estimates based on third-party data and should not be construed as guarantees of performance. Mortgage estimates assume current market rates and are subject to change. This analysis is for informational purposes only.